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From Pilot to Production: Scaling AI in the Supply Chain

Why 73% of supply chain AI pilots never reach production — and the five conditions that change the odds.

Priya Venkataraman · Partner, Data & AI
10 min read

Every supply chain leader has a pilot story. Most do not have a production story. The gap is not technical — it's organizational, and it's reproducible.

73%
Of supply chain AI pilots stall before reaching enterprise production.

The five conditions

  • A named operating-line owner — not just a data science sponsor.
  • A baseline KPI agreed before model training, not after.
  • Integration to the system of record (ERP/WMS/TMS) on day one, not phase two.
  • Change management budgeted at 1.5× the model build cost.
  • A 'kill criteria' — the explicit threshold below which the pilot is shut down.

What good looks like

Production-grade supply chain AI moves a number on the P&L every month. If your AI council is reviewing accuracy metrics instead of EBITDA contribution, the pilot is already drifting toward the 73%.

"AI doesn't fail because the model is wrong. It fails because no one owns the decision the model is supposed to inform."

— Priya Venkataraman
Author
Priya Venkataraman
Partner, Data & AI — Maine Pointe
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